JAN KI BAAT – INDIA NEWS Opinion Poll has projected victory for BJP+ in the upcoming Tripura Elections of 2023. As per the findings of the Opinion Poll, BJP+ is likely to win with a projected seat-share of 30 to 35 seats. Left & Congress alliance may fail to create any impact in Tripura, JAN KI BAAT Opinion Poll projects that the alliance could get less than 17 seats in the 60 seat assembly that is anywhere between 13-16 seats. As per the findings of the Opinion Poll, royal family scion Pradyot Debbarman’s newly created TIPRA MOTHA is expected to make inroads in Tripura, it is projected to get anywhere between 11 – 13 seats.
While BJP+ projected voteshare is in the range of 39% to 42%, CPM & Congress alliance is projected to get voteshare in the range of 38% to 41%. JAN KI BAAT Opinion Poll is projecting TIPRA MOTHA’s voteshare to be in the range of 16% to 21%
SOME OTHER KEY FINDINGS OF JAN KI BAAT OPINION POLL FOR TRIPURA ELECTIONS OF 2023 ARE AS FOLLOWS:
1) 60% Bengali Hindu voters are projected to vote for BJP+
2) 70% Bengali Muslim voters are projected to vote for CPM & Congress alliance
3) TIPRA MOTHA expected to make significant dent in Tribal votes, 64% tribal voters are projected to go with Pradyot Debbarman
4) BJP+ retaining a chunk of Tribal votes majorly because of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s flagship schemes like PM AWAS
5) CPM & Congress alliance is projected to the third preference for Tribal community
6) For Tribal voters, TIPRA is emerging as ‘NEW IPFT’
7) In North Tripura, BJP+ is projected to get 3 seats, CPM+ is projected to get 2 seats, others are likely to get 1 seat.
8) BJP+ is projected to retain its hold over West Tripura, projected to get 9-10 out of 14 seats in the district
9) In Khowai district, BJP+ is projected to get 4 seats and TIPRA could bag 2 seats, CPM+ could stare at a duck in this district.
10) In South Tripura, BJP+ is expected to get 4 seats and Left, Cong alliance could get 3 seats
11) In West Tripura, Tipra and CPM+ are projected to get 2 seats each. West Tripura has 14 out of 60 seats
12) Margin of victory and loss in every seat is projected to be lesser than 2018 Tripura Assembly elections
13) Pradyot Debbarman’s TIPRA is projected to cross 15% voteshare, could eat into both BJP & CPM’s voteshare
14) Chief Minister Manik Saha is projected to win his seat of Town Bardoli
15) Close fight in Congress stalwart Sudeep Roy Barman’s seat in Agartala 6.
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